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Stochastic near-optimal controls for treatment and vaccination in a COVID-19 model with transmission incorporating Lévy jumps
CRM, Canada.
Ibn Tofail University, Morocco.
Université de Montréal, Canada.
Linnaeus University, Faculty of Technology, Department of Mathematics.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-7790-0539
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2024 (English)In: Stochastics: An International Journal of Probablitiy and Stochastic Processes, ISSN 1744-2508, E-ISSN 1744-2516, Vol. 96, no 1, p. 887-920Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

The COVID-19 pandemic has triggered a groundbreaking reliance on mathematical modelling as an important tool for studying and managing the spread of the virus since its emergence. Public health preventive measures such as vaccination and therapeutics can effectively reduce or eradicate an infectious disease. This work investigates these two strategies for controlling the COVID-19 epidemic through a stochastic epidemiological modelling approach. The existence and uniqueness of a positive solution of the stochastic system is studied. A priori estimates of the vaccination and treatment controls are established. Sufficient and necessary conditions are obtained for the near-optimal control problem of the stochastic model using the maximum condition of the Hamiltonian function and the Ekeland principle. Finally, to support our theoretical results, numerical simulations for a combination of optimized vaccination and treatment strategies were presented to understand the challenges posed by COVID-19 in Brazil.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Taylor & Francis Group, 2024. Vol. 96, no 1, p. 887-920
Keywords [en]
COVID-19 model, Lévy process, near-optimal control, stochastic control, adjoint process
National Category
Mathematics Public Health, Global Health, Social Medicine and Epidemiology
Research subject
Natural Science, Mathematics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:lnu:diva-128693DOI: 10.1080/17442508.2024.2320846ISI: 001184020600001Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85187863844OAI: oai:DiVA.org:lnu-128693DiVA, id: diva2:1849961
Available from: 2024-04-09 Created: 2024-04-09 Last updated: 2024-05-20Bibliographically approved

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Pettersson, Roger

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CiteExportLink to record
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  • apa
  • ieee
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  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
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  • nn-NB
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Output format
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  • asciidoc
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