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Epidemic modelling by birth-death processes with spatial scaling
Linnaeus University, Faculty of Technology, Department of Mathematics.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-5922-7758
Ibn Tofail Univ, Morocco.
Cadi Ayyad Univ, Morocco.
Linnaeus University, Faculty of Technology, Department of Mathematics.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-7790-0539
2024 (English)In: Journal of Mathematics in Industry, E-ISSN 2190-5983, Vol. 14, no 1, article id 9Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

In epidemic modeling, interpretation of compartment quantities, such as s, i, and r in relevant equations, is not always straightforward. Ambiguities regarding whether these quantities represent numbers or fractions of individuals in each compartment rise questions about significance of the involved parameters. In this paper, we address these challenges by considering a density-dependent epidemic modelling by a birth-death process approach inspired by Kurtz from 1970s'. In contrast to existing literature, which employs population size scaling under constant population condition, we scale with respect to the area. Namely, under the assumption of spatial homogeneity of the population, we consider the quantities of susceptible, infective and recovered per unit area. This spatial scaling allows diffusion approximation for birth-death type epidemic models with varying population size. By adopting this approach, we anticipate to contribute to a clear and transparent description of compartment quantities and parameters in epidemic modeling.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Springer, 2024. Vol. 14, no 1, article id 9
Keywords [en]
Density dependent models, Epidemic models, Time-continuous Markov chains, Birth-death processes, Diffusion approximation
National Category
Mathematics
Research subject
Mathematics, Applied Mathematics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:lnu:diva-131846DOI: 10.1186/s13362-024-00152-xISI: 001269044900001Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85198034698OAI: oai:DiVA.org:lnu-131846DiVA, id: diva2:1889698
Available from: 2024-08-16 Created: 2024-08-16 Last updated: 2024-09-05Bibliographically approved

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Arharas, IhsanPettersson, Roger

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CiteExportLink to record
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