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2012 (English) In: Presented at the 3rd Linnaeus University Workshop in Stochastic Analysis and Applications. Växjö, Sweden, May 24-25, 2012, 2012Conference paper, Oral presentation only (Other academic)
Abstract [en] This paper examines the causal relationship between the US and Asian equity markets as well as the causal relationship among the Asian equity market themselves (China, Hong Kong, Japan, Singapore, Korea, and Taiwan). The links between the national stock markets of these economies and the most influential stock market, that of the US, is extensively analyzed, especially in different sample periods including three crisis periods since the late 1990s (the Asian financial crisis, dot-com bubble burst, and the subprime financial crisis). This paper shows that the major equity markets in the East Asian region are closely integrated, thereby diminishing the potential for Asian portfolio diversification. The causal linkage of the US equity market to the Asian equity markets does not have notably different patterns depending on whether it is during a crisis period or not. This finding holds for the finest time scale of 1-2 days movements of the stock price indices. The influence of the US equity market is much less at larger time scales throughout all sub-sample periods. The leading role of the US equity market substantially weakens while the interdependence among the Asian equity markets is stronger at longer time scales of 8 to 16 days. A general finding is that there is evidence of a varying number of causal relationships among the equity markets in this study as well as changes in directions of causality in different time scales.
National Category
Economics
Research subject
Economy, Economics
Identifiers urn:nbn:se:lnu:diva-78452 (URN)
Conference 3rd Linnaeus University Workshop in Stochastic Analysis and Applications. Växjö, Sweden, May 24-25, 2012
2018-10-232018-10-232019-09-09 Bibliographically approved