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Information overload for (bounded) rational agents
City Univ London, UK.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-1919-387X
Univ Bristol, UK.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-1655-2013
City Univ London, UK.
Univ Lleida, Spain.
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2021 (English)In: Proceedings of the Royal Society of London. Biological Sciences, ISSN 0962-8452, E-ISSN 1471-2954, Vol. 288, no 1944, article id 20202957Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Bayesian inference offers an optimal means of processing environmental information and so an advantage in natural selection. We consider the apparent, recent trend in increasing dysfunctional disagreement in, for example, political debate. This is puzzling because Bayesian inference benefits from powerful convergence theorems, precluding dysfunctional disagreement. Information overload is a plausible factor limiting the applicability of full Bayesian inference, but what is the link with dysfunctional disagreement? Individuals striving to be Bayesian-rational, but challenged by information overload, might simplify by using Bayesian networks or the separation of questions into knowledge partitions, the latter formalized with quantum probability theory. We demonstrate the massive simplification afforded by either approach, but also show how they contribute to dysfunctional disagreement.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Royal Society , 2021. Vol. 288, no 1944, article id 20202957
Keywords [en]
Bayesian inference, disagreement, entrenchment, rationality, decision-making
National Category
Probability Theory and Statistics Other Social Sciences
Research subject
Natural Science, Mathematics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:lnu:diva-103541DOI: 10.1098/rspb.2020.2957ISI: 000647649700023PubMedID: 33529555Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85101219310Local ID: 2021OAI: oai:DiVA.org:lnu-103541DiVA, id: diva2:1556671
Available from: 2021-05-24 Created: 2021-05-24 Last updated: 2021-05-24Bibliographically approved

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Khrennikov, Andrei

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Pothos, Emmanuel M.Lewandowsky, StephanKhrennikov, Andrei
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CiteExportLink to record
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Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
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