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The 1918 Epidemic and a V‐shaped Recession: Evidence from Historical Tax Records
University of Southern Denmark, Denmark.
University of Copenhagen, Denmark.
Linnaeus University, School of Business and Economics, Department of Economics and Statistics.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-1905-6859
2022 (English)In: Scandinavian Journal of Economics, ISSN 0347-0520, E-ISSN 1467-9442, Vol. 124, no 1, p. 139-163Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Sustainable development
Not refering to any SDG
Abstract [en]

We exploit high-quality vital statistics data and annual income data, obtained from historical municipality tax records, to study the economic aftermath of the 1918-influenza epidemic in Denmark. We find that average income followed a V-shaped path from 1917 to 1919 and (if anything) municipalities with higher 1918-influenza mortality rates experienced more pronounced declines and recoveries. In addition, national month-by-industry unemployment data show that unemployment rates were high during the epidemic, but decreased again a couple of months after the epidemic receded. Evidence from the Danish stock market exchange also indicates that the epidemic only had short-lived effects on the economy.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
John Wiley & Sons, 2022. Vol. 124, no 1, p. 139-163
Keywords [en]
Economics, Econometrics
National Category
Economics
Research subject
Economy, Economics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:lnu:diva-107481DOI: 10.1111/sjoe.12456ISI: 000730341000001Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85120673797Local ID: 2021OAI: oai:DiVA.org:lnu-107481DiVA, id: diva2:1603036
Available from: 2021-10-14 Created: 2021-10-14 Last updated: 2022-05-09Bibliographically approved

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Sandholt Jensen, Peter

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  • de-DE
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  • en-US
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  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
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  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
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  • asciidoc
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