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Regression to the mean in latent change score models: an example involving breastfeeding and intelligence
Karolinska Institutet, Sweden.
Karolinska Institutet, Sweden;Stockholm University, Sweden;Charite Univ Med Berlin, Germany.
Linnaeus University, Faculty of Health and Life Sciences, Department of Psychology. Karolinska Institutet, Sweden;IGDORE, Sweden.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-0678-4494
Karolinska Institutet, Sweden.
2022 (English)In: BMC Pediatrics, E-ISSN 1471-2431, Vol. 22, no 1, article id 283Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Background Latent change score models are often used to study change over time in observational data. However, latent change score models may be susceptible to regression to the mean. Earlier observational studies have identified a positive association between breastfeeding and child intelligence, even when adjusting for maternal intelligence. Method In the present study, we investigate regression to the mean in the case of breastfeeding and intelligence of children. We used latent change score modeling to analyze intergenerational change in intelligence, both from mothers to children and backward from children to mothers, in the 1979 National Longitudinal Survey of Youth (NLSY79) dataset (N = 6283). Results When analyzing change from mothers to children, breastfeeding was found to have a positive association with intergenerational change in intelligence, whereas when analyzing backward change from children to mothers, a negative association was found. Conclusions These discrepant findings highlight a hidden flexibility in the analytical space and call into question the reliability of earlier studies of breastfeeding and intelligence using observational data.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
BioMed Central, 2022. Vol. 22, no 1, article id 283
Keywords [en]
Analytical flexibility, Breastfeeding, Causal effect, Forward and backward change, Latent change score modeling, Maternal and child intelligence, Regression to the mean
National Category
Psychiatry
Research subject
Social Sciences, Psychology
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:lnu:diva-114111DOI: 10.1186/s12887-022-03349-4ISI: 000796492400003PubMedID: 35578205Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85130142271OAI: oai:DiVA.org:lnu-114111DiVA, id: diva2:1670526
Available from: 2022-06-16 Created: 2022-06-16 Last updated: 2024-11-07Bibliographically approved

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Ingre, Michael

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