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Where Would Ukrainian Refugees Go if They Could Go Anywhere?
Uppsala University, Sweden;Research Institute of Industrial Economics, Sweden;UCFS, Sweden.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-9811-8263
Uppsala University, Sweden;Research Institute of Industrial Economics, Sweden;UCFS, Sweden.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-3929-9906
Institute for Futures Studies, Sweden;UCFS, Sweden;Uppsala Center for Labor Studies (UCLS), Sweden;Uppsala Center for Labor Studies, Sweden.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-2341-3751
2023 (English)In: The international migration review, ISSN 0197-9183, E-ISSN 1747-7379, Vol. 57, no 2, p. 587-602Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

We present estimates of the number of refugees expected to flee Ukraine and to which countries they are expected to migrate based on migration preferences data from the Gallup World Poll (GWP). This is important in terms of both immediate refugee assistance efforts and long-term integration policies. Our key finding is that as many as 12 million people may want to leave Ukraine permanently and that refugee policies in potential destination countries are likely to have a substantial impact on the distribution of Ukrainian refugees between different countries. More specifically, international solidarity in response to the migration crisis would significantly reduce the refugee flows to European Union (EU) countries, incur a limited burden on non-EU countries, and at the same time, better take the preferences of the Ukrainians into account.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Sage Publications, 2023. Vol. 57, no 2, p. 587-602
Keywords [en]
Ukraine, Refugees, Migration preferences
National Category
Economics
Research subject
Economics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:lnu:diva-127358DOI: 10.1177/01979183221131559ISI: 000884582800001Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85142084715OAI: oai:DiVA.org:lnu-127358DiVA, id: diva2:1833435
Available from: 2024-01-31 Created: 2024-01-31 Last updated: 2024-02-15Bibliographically approved

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Elinder, MikaelErixson, OscarHammar, Olle

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