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The future tourism mobility of the world population: Emission growth versus climate policy.
Linnaeus University, Faculty of Business, Economics and Design, Linnaeus School of Business and Economics.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-0505-9207
2011 (English)In: Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, ISSN 0965-8564, Vol. 45, no 10, 1031-1042 p.Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Much of global passenger transport is linked to tourism. The sector is therefore of interest in studying global mobility trends and transport-related emissions. In 2005, tourism was responsible for around 5% of all CO2 emissions, of which 75% were caused by passenger transport. Given the rapid growth in tourism, with 1.6 billion international tourist arrivals predicted by 2020 (up from 903 million in 2007), it is clear that the sector will contribute to rapidly growing emission levels, and increasingly interfere with global climate policy. This is especially true under climate stabilisation and “avoiding dangerous climate change” objectives, implying global emission reductions in the order of −50% to −80% by 2050, compared to 2000. Based on three backcasting scenarios, and using techniques integrating quantitative and qualitative elements, this paper discusses the options for emission reductions in the tourism sector and the consequences of mitigation for global tourism-related mobility by 2050. It ends with a discussion of the policy implications of the results.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2011. Vol. 45, no 10, 1031-1042 p.
Keyword [en]
Tourism; Mobility; Climate change; Mitigation; Scenarios; Backcasting
National Category
Social Sciences
Research subject
Tourism
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:lnu:diva-10863DOI: 10.1016/j.tra.2009.11.004OAI: oai:DiVA.org:lnu-10863DiVA: diva2:398855
Available from: 2011-02-19 Created: 2011-02-19 Last updated: 2017-01-13Bibliographically approved

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CiteExportLink to record
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Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • harvard1
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
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