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Effects of climate change on biomass production and substitution in north-central Sweden
Mid Sweden University.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-2768-2027
Linnaeus University, Faculty of Science and Engineering, School of Engineering. Mid Sweden University.
Linnaeus University, Faculty of Science and Engineering, School of Engineering. (SBER)
Mid Sweden University.
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2011 (English)In: Biomass and Bioenergy, ISSN 0961-9534, E-ISSN 1873-2909, Vol. 35, no 10, 4340-4355 p.Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

In this study we estimate the effects of climate change on forest production in north-central Sweden, as well as the potential climate change mitigation feedback effects of the resulting increased carbon stock and forest product use. Our results show that an average regional temperature rise of 4 °C over the next 100 years may increase annual forest production by 33% and potential annual harvest by 32%, compared to a reference case without climate change. This increased biomass production, if used to substitute fossil fuels and energy-intensive materials, can result in a significant net carbon emission reduction. We find that carbon stock in forest biomass, forest soils, and wood products also increase, but this effect is less significant than biomass substitution. A total net reduction in carbon emissions of up to 104 Tg of carbon can occur over 100 years, depending on harvest level and reference fossil fuel.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2011. Vol. 35, no 10, 4340-4355 p.
National Category
Forest Science
Research subject
Technology (byts ev till Engineering), Civil engineering
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:lnu:diva-15742DOI: 10.1016/j.biombioe.2011.08.005OAI: oai:DiVA.org:lnu-15742DiVA: diva2:455210
Available from: 2011-11-09 Created: 2011-11-09 Last updated: 2017-03-08Bibliographically approved

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Poudel, Bishnu ChandraSathre, RogerGustavsson, LeifBergh, Johan
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