lnu.sePublications
Change search
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • harvard1
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf
Scenario planning for sustainable tourism: an introduction
Lunds universitet.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-0505-9207
2012 (English)In: Journal of Sustainable Tourism, ISSN 0966-9582, E-ISSN 1747-7646, Vol. 20, no 6, 773-778 p.Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

This paper introduces the development of scenario planning for sustainable tourism, from the 1970s to the present day. It outlines the links between scenario planning and forecasting, its role as a business-planning tool generally, and its use in tourism for destination planning and advocacy. The prominent role of models is shown and the evolution from the first generation of forecast-focused models of the 1980s to the new generation of complex, integrative, hierarchical, dynamic and even adaptive models of today is discussed. The paper introduces a series of new scenario planning papers that cover a range of subjects including theorising scenario analysis, counterfactual scenario planning, green economy support systems, climate change scenarios (for ski and coastal tourism), destination environmental footprint scenario tools and transition management as a tool for scenario building.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2012. Vol. 20, no 6, 773-778 p.
Keyword [en]
scenario planning, modeling, forecast
National Category
Other Social Sciences
Research subject
Tourism
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:lnu:diva-24102DOI: 10.1080/09669582.2012.699064ISI: 000306170000001OAI: oai:DiVA.org:lnu-24102DiVA: diva2:603471
Available from: 2013-02-06 Created: 2013-02-06 Last updated: 2017-01-13Bibliographically approved

Open Access in DiVA

No full text

Other links

Publisher's full text

Search in DiVA

By author/editor
Gössling, Stefan
In the same journal
Journal of Sustainable Tourism
Other Social Sciences

Search outside of DiVA

GoogleGoogle Scholar

Altmetric score

Total: 107 hits
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • harvard1
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf