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  • 1.
    Fischer, Doris
    et al.
    University of Würzburg, Germany.
    Fromlet, Hubert
    Linnaeus University, School of Business and Economics, Department of Economics and Statistics.
    China's strive for quality of growth and growth data: challenges for economic analyses and the European/global corporate sector2015In: Paper presented at the 17th Annual Conference on European Integration - Swedish Network for European Studies in Economics and Business (SNEE), Mölle, Sweden, May 19-22, 2015, 2015Conference paper (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    Economists – particularly foreign financial analysts, also in Europe – focus mainly on the Purchasing Manager Indices (PMIs) and quarterly GDP changes when analyzing Chinese growth. This is understandable since these data are easily available. More recently these data did not produce an optimistic picture for China’s economy. But does this information really provide reliable information on China’s growth performance and outlook? Does this analytical approach capture the strategy and policy changes announced during the Third Plenum in November 2013?

    Certainly not. Consequently, foreign and even domestic investors run the risk that portfolio and particularly more long-term investments are too heavily based on short-term indicators that do not reflect ongoing structural improvement measures or policy changes.

    The paper will summarize past and current discussion on Chinese GDP data and deal with the alternatives for assessing economic growth and its quality. Merely relying on an improved and widened analysis of Chinese reform policy since November 2013 is difficult and has its limits. But better analysis can be created by economists themselves even under current conditions. Transparency is still by far too poor. Improvements should not be that difficult to achieve all the same. Some ideas are given in this paper – and also hints how and where to find information on structural improvements that have taken place or are planned concretely for the nearer future.

    Better insight into Chinese reform policy and underlying GDP-growth conditions could give a sounder input for decision-making by domestic, European and global investors, Swedish and German companies included. The ambition of the paper is to contribute to a move from too much short-term to more medium- and long-term analysis of China’s development - an approach that should be promising also from a European corporate perspective.

  • 2.
    Fromlet, Hubert
    Linnaeus University, School of Business and Economics, Department of Economics and Statistics.
    Avregleringar på finansmarknaden: kan Kina lära sig något av det svenska exemplet?2014In: Ekonomisk Debatt, ISSN 0345-2646, Vol. 42, no 3, p. 72-82Article in journal (Refereed)
    Abstract [sv]

    Avregleringar på finansmarknaden utgör en väsentlig del av Kinas påbörjade, omfattande reformprogram efter det s k Tredje Plenumet i november 2013. I artikeln undersöks i vad mån Kina kan dra nytta av en del negativa erfarenheter från den svenska finansiella avregleringsprocessen.

  • 3.
    Fromlet, Hubert
    University of Kalmar, Baltic Business School.
    Behavioral Finance - Theory and Practical Application2001In: Business Economics, ISSN 0007-666X, EISSN: 1554-432X, Vol. julyArticle in journal (Refereed)
  • 4.
    Fromlet, Hubert
    Linnaeus University, Faculty of Business, Economics and Design, Linnaeus School of Business and Economics.
    Benefits for Asian and Global Investors from Improved Chinese Statistics2011In: Finance India. The Quarterly Journal of Indian Institute of Finance, ISSN 0970-3772, Vol. 25, no 4, p. 1189-1207Article in journal (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    The quality of Chinese statistics is still lagging which can have an impact on the whole global economy...

  • 5.
    Fromlet, Hubert
    University of Kalmar, Baltic Business School.
    Big Current Deficits in New EU Member States and South Eastern European Reforming Countries - Benign or Malign Neglect?2007Conference paper (Other academic)
  • 6.
    Fromlet, Hubert
    University of Kalmar, Baltic Business School.
    Can China Still Learn from the European Financial Model?2009Conference paper (Refereed)
  • 7.
    Fromlet, Hubert
    Linnaeus University, School of Business and Economics, Department of Economics and Statistics.
    China's New Economic Policy: Changing Analytical Conditions for Financial Markets and Corporations2017In: Economic and Financial Review, ISSN 1351-3621, Vol. 24, no 1, p. 3-48Article, review/survey (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    China is now undergoing changes, often backed up by well-known Western research. The author attempts to find modified or new analytical factors which corporations should focus on.

  • 8.
    Fromlet, Hubert
    University of Kalmar, Baltic Business School.
    Financial Literacy and its Benefits on a Household, Corporate and Macroeconomic Level2007Conference paper (Other academic)
  • 9.
    Fromlet, Hubert
    University of Kalmar, Baltic Business School.
    Financial Literacy and its Benefits on a Household Corporate and Wealth Management Level2008In:  , 2008Conference paper (Refereed)
  • 10.
    Fromlet, Hubert
    University of Kalmar, Baltic Business School.
    Impediments to Sustainable and Good GDP Growth in New EU Countries: Discussion Paper at the 7th Annual Conference on European Integration Swedish Network for European Studies in Economics and Business (SNEE) Mölle, May 16-19, 20062006Conference paper (Other academic)
    Abstract [en]

    The former planned economies among the new EU member states are performing quite well in terms of growth. But is there a potential to improve economic growth more visibly? If yes, where are the sources or impediments to increased long-term growth? This discussion paper puts a special emphasis on microeconomic conditions for growth. This approach is often neglected in commercial market analysis. Macroeconomic stability is a necessary, but not sufficient, precondition for sustainable good growth. Improved microeconomic and institutional conditions can lead to desirable increases of the potential growth rate. All this will be necessary to meet growing global competition which also companies in EU8 countries increasingly will have to tackle.

  • 11.
    Fromlet, Hubert
    Blekinge Tekniska Högskola.
    Impediments to sustainable high growth GDP in the new member countries of the European Union2006In: Economic & Financial Computing, ISSN 0962-2780, Vol. 16, no 3, p. 103-148Article in journal (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    The former centrally-planned economies among the new EU member states are performing quite well in terms of growth. But is there a potential to improve economic growth more visibly? If yes, where are the sources or impediments to increased long-term growth? This paper puts a special emphasis on microeconomic conditions for growth. This approach is often neglected in commercial market analysis. Macroeconomic stability is a necessary, but not sufficient, precondition for sustainable good growth. Improved microeconomic and institutional conditions can lead to desirable increases of the potential growth rate. All this is necessary to meet growing global competition which companies in EU8 countries increasingly have to tackle.

  • 12.
    Fromlet, Hubert
    Linnaeus University, Faculty of Business, Economics and Design, Linnaeus School of Business and Economics.
    Increased Transpaency on Chinese Financial Markets: Benefits for China, Europe and the Whole Global Economy2010Conference paper (Other academic)
    Abstract [en]

    Transparency in Chinese financial markets is still poor...

  • 13.
    Fromlet, Hubert
    University of Kalmar, Baltic Business School.
    India versus China - Who vill be the Winner in the Long Run?2005In: Economic & Financial Review, ISSN 1351-3621, Vol. 12, no 3, p. 111-143Article in journal (Refereed)
  • 14.
    Fromlet, Hubert
    Linnaeus University, School of Business and Economics, Department of Economics and Statistics.
    Kinas nya ekonomiska politik: hur kan den integreras i en modern landanalys?2016In: Ekonomisk Debatt, ISSN 0345-2646, Vol. 44, no 5, p. 12-22Article in journal (Refereed)
    Abstract [sv]

    Kina befinner sig för närvarande i en långtgående ekonomisk och social omdaningsprocess. Många strukturella förändringar är på väg – åtminstone om de politiska makthavarnas planer ungefärligen kan genomföras under de kommande åren. Den uppnådda och kvantitativa BNP-tillväxten har styrt många Kina-analyser. Framöver måste kineserna dock lägga mer fokus på bättre kvalitet i tillväxten. En sådan förändringsprocess kräver bl a förbättringar avseende teknologi, produktivitet och miljö – och detta i en omvärld, där marknadsekonomin tänks spela en ”avgörande roll” (Third Plenum 2013, kap I, 2, s 1). Av dessa nya trender följer att forskare, företag och finansmarknadsanalytiker i sin tur måste modernisera analysen av Kina på både makro- och mikronivå.

  • 15.
    Fromlet, Hubert
    Linnaeus University, Faculty of Business, Economics and Design, Linnaeus School of Business and Economics.
    Predictability of financial crises: Lessons from Sweden for other countries2012In: Business Economics, ISSN 0007-666X, Vol. 47, no 4, p. 262-272Article in journal (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    The predictability of financial crises is widely regarded as low. However, skills linked to market psychology (behavioral finance) and the understanding of history and macrofinancial aggregates have been insufficiently integrated in the forecasting and risk management of financial institutions. Traditional financial modeling can no longer be applied as nicely as in the past. In Sweden, the financial crises of the early 1990s and in the latter part of the past decade were caused by overconfidence, control illusion, and herd mentality - but also by shortcomings in management and corporate governance. There is no evidence that these two serious Swedish banking crises were not foreseeable. The general question is when and under which circumstances financial decision-makers and authorities should listen to the usual minority of warning voices. One conclusion is that economists should be more in house-oriented, and top managers should heed their professional opinions. Conclusions from this paper can also be drawn for China, India, and other emerging markets both when it comes to financial deregulation policy and government debt risks in deregulated financial markets. © National Association for Business Economics.

  • 16.
    Fromlet, Hubert
    Linnaeus University, Faculty of Business, Economics and Design, Linnaeus School of Business and Economics.
    Reforming the International Financial System by Regulation and Collaborative Arrangements: Financial Markets, Economic Growth, and Lessons from History2010In: Repositioning Europe and America for Growth: The Role of Governments and Private Actors in Key Policy Areas / [ed] Eberhard Bohne, Charlie Karlsson, Berlin: LIT Verlag, 2010, p. 91-99Chapter in book (Other academic)
  • 17.
    Fromlet, Hubert
    University of Kalmar, Baltic Business School.
    Reforming the International Financial System by Regulation or Collaborative Arrangements?2009Conference paper (Other academic)
  • 18.
    Fromlet, Hubert
    University of Kalmar, Baltic Business School.
    The American Subprime Crisis - Lessons for the Future in a European Perspective2008Conference paper (Refereed)
  • 19.
    Fromlet, Hubert
    Linnaeus University, Faculty of Business, Economics and Design, Linnaeus School of Business and Economics.
    The Chinese Economy - 20 Burdening Conflicts of Goals2011In: Revue Bancaire et Financière, ISSN 2033-7825, Vol. 75, no 5, p. 312-317Article in journal (Other academic)
    Abstract [en]

    During 2010, China became the number two country in the world measured by total GDP (in PPP terms). However, China's extremely rapid growth has also had its price. This is expressed in the many economic imbalances - but also in a number of substantial of conflicts of goals for Chinese policymakers. Thus, one big question concerns the area that will dominate Chinese policy in shorter and longer perspective. The other big question is to what extent policy priorities can be achieved. Finally, one should raise the question whether the officially desired priorities contribute to a healthier trend in the Chinese economy.

  • 20.
    Fromlet, Hubert
    Linnaeus University, School of Business and Economics, Department of Economics and Statistics.
    The Chinese Government Debt: What do we Know and What should be Done?2013In: Finance India. The Quarterly Journal of Indian Institute of Finance, ISSN 0970-3772, Vol. 27, no 3, p. 761-775Article in journal (Refereed)
  • 21.
    Fromlet, Hubert
    Linnaeus University, School of Business and Economics, Department of Economics and Statistics.
    The Chinese Government Debt: What Do We Know and What Should be Done?2013In: BOFIT Online, ISSN 1456-811X, no 4, p. 18-Article in journal (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    A review of the economic press and literature reveals that there is little research and analysis on the important issue of the Chinese governmental debt and budget deficits. This is astonishing since the Chinese economy has by now climbed to the second position in global GDP ranking. Thus, China’s government debt matters increasingly to the rest of the world as well, both in a corporate and a macroeconomic perspective.Furthermore, not enough is known about the real size of the total Chinese government debt. Insufficient statistical transparency is an important reason for this shortcoming, but this should not serve as an excuse. Increasing efforts are needed to provide China and the rest of the world with better information on the real state of Chinese government debt. In this paper, an attempt is made to explain and discuss the real situation when it comes to the Chinese government debt. The current Greek/Southern European debt misery clearly shows that opaque statistics cannot be hidden away forever without sooner or later puzzling and/or frightening the financial markets. On the other hand, China cannot be analyzed completely with Western eyes. The sooner Chinese decision-makers decide on greater transparency in the government debt situation, and decisive steps towards more efficient fiscal policy are taken, the better the consequences for China itself and the global economy. The alternative - continuous opaqueness and a possible future fiscal explosion - could certainly do a lot of harm to China, but also to the global economy. There is no reason to underestimate this medium and long-term risk. The short-term perspective looks safer.There should be room for a greater exchange of views and co-operation between EU and China, too. The EU’s own bad experience from the past few years could be a realistic starting point.

  • 22.
    Fromlet, Hubert
    Linnaeus University, School of Business and Economics, Department of Economics and Statistics.
    The Chinese reform process in a European perspective2014In: Revue Bancaire et Financière, ISSN 1376-7720, Vol. 78, no 4, p. 311-323Article in journal (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    There is every reason for Europe, the U.S. and many other countries, organizations, and corporations to optimize to optimize their co-operation with China in line with with its necessary and implemented reforms - and to consider all the conflicts of goals that are part of the far-reaching Chinese reform program. Major Chinese reform disappointments would be scary since the European and Anerican economies would not be prepared for such a reversal. This is a mostly forgotten risk.

  • 23.
    Fromlet, Hubert
    University of Kalmar, Baltic Business School.
    The Euro Moves East - Opportunities and Challanges2002Conference paper (Other academic)
  • 24.
    Fromlet, Hubert
    University of Kalmar, Baltic Business School.
    The Impact of the Financial Crisis on (South) Eastern European Countries - and the Main Lessons for the Future2009Conference paper (Other academic)
  • 25.
    Fromlet, Hubert
    University of Kalmar, Baltic Business School.
    The profession of the Business Economist - Historical Experience and Future Challenges2004In: Perspektiven der Märkte für Finanzdienstleistungen / [ed] Welteke/Schröder/Hofer, Stuttgart: Deutcher Sparkassen Verlag , 2004Chapter in book (Other academic)
  • 26.
    Fromlet, Hubert
    University of Kalmar, Baltic Business School.
    The Run to China:  and the Need of better Information and Analysis2007In: Business Success in China / [ed] Hofer/Ebel, New York: Springer , 2007, 1, p. 131-150Chapter in book (Other academic)
  • 27.
    Fromlet, Hubert
    University of Kalmar, Baltic Business School.
    The Run to China: Another Example of herd Behavior?2004In: Economic & Financial Review, Vol. 3, no 1Article in journal (Refereed)
  • 28.
    Fromlet, Hubert
    University of Kalmar, Baltic Business School.
    Währungsperspektiven für den Ostseeraum1999In: Die Europäische Zentralbank: europäische Geldpolitik im Spannungsfeld zwischen Wirtschaft und Politik / [ed] Simmert/Welteke, Stuttgart: Deutcher Sparkassen Verlag , 1999Chapter in book (Other academic)
1 - 28 of 28
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