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Identifying the relative importance of predictors of survival in out of hospital cardiac arrest: a machine learning study
University of Gothenburg, Sweden;Ostfold Hosp Kalnes, Norway.
University of Gothenburg, Sweden;Sahlgrenska university hospital, Sweden.
Karolinska Institutet, Sweden.
Linnaeus University, Faculty of Technology, Kalmar Maritime Academy. Kalmar county hospital, Sweden.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-4772-0067
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2020 (English)In: Scandinavian Journal of Trauma, Resuscitation and Emergency Medicine, E-ISSN 1757-7241, Vol. 28, no 1, p. 1-8, article id 60Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Introduction: Studies examining the factors linked to survival after out of hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) have either aimed to describe the characteristics and outcomes of OHCA in different parts of the world, or focused on certain factors and whether they were associated with survival. Unfortunately, this approach does not measure how strong each factor is in predicting survival after OHCA. Aim: To investigate the relative importance of 16 well-recognized factors in OHCA at the time point of ambulance arrival, and before any interventions or medications were given, by using a machine learning approach that implies building models directly from the data, and arranging those factors in order of importance in predicting survival. Methods: Using a data-driven approach with a machine learning algorithm, we studied the relative importance of 16 factors assessed during the pre-hospital phase of OHCA We examined 45,000 cases of OHCA between 2008 and 2016. Results: Overall, the top five factors to predict survival in order of importance were: initial rhythm, age, early Cardiopulmonary Resuscitation (CPR, time to CPR and CPR before arrival of EMS), time from EMS dispatch until EMS arrival, and place of cardiac arrest The largest difference in importance was noted between initial rhythm and the remaining predictors. A number of factors, including time of arrest and sex were of little importance. Conclusion: Using machine learning, we confirm that the most important predictor of survival in OHCA is initial rhythm, followed by age, time to start of CPR, EMS response time and place of OHCA. Several factors traditionally viewed as important e.g. sex, were of little importance.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
BioMed Central, 2020. Vol. 28, no 1, p. 1-8, article id 60
National Category
Cardiology and Cardiovascular Disease
Research subject
Natural Science, Medicine
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:lnu:diva-97277DOI: 10.1186/s13049-020-00742-9ISI: 000545747800002PubMedID: 32586339Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85087139383OAI: oai:DiVA.org:lnu-97277DiVA, id: diva2:1455307
Available from: 2020-07-23 Created: 2020-07-23 Last updated: 2025-02-10Bibliographically approved

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Israelsson, Johan

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