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Can Norway become a net-zero economy under scenarios of tourism growth?
Univ Queensland, Australia.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-6788-7644
Linnaeus University, School of Business and Economics, Department of Organisation and Entrepreneurship. Lund University, Sweden;Western Norway Res Inst, Norway.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-0505-9207
Norwegian Sch Econ, Norway.
BI Norwegian Business Sch, Norway;Norwegian Sch Econ, Norway.
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2022 (English)In: Journal of Cleaner Production, ISSN 0959-6526, E-ISSN 1879-1786, Vol. 363, article id 132414Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

The Paris Agreement suggests that all countries engage in significant emission reductions. To stay within safe guardrails, usually defined as a maximum warming of 1.5 degrees C compared to pre-industrial times, this will mean decarbonisation within less than 30 years. This significant challenge is complicated because of growth in some sectors, such as tourism. This paper analyses emissions and economic output in Norway, considering national Tourism Satellite Accounts. Novel aspects of this paper include a longitudinal perspective covering 12 years through which critical developments and progress on emission reduction pathways can be assessed. Findings suggest that the carbon intensity of tourism (emissions per NOK) is more than twice the Norwegian economy average. Aviation in particular is a major barrier to emission reductions, as it generates 17% of national tourism revenue and 75% of direct tourism emissions. Trend extrapolation shows that tourism will be the largest emission sub-sector of the Norwegian economy by 2030. The Norwegian economy will have to decarbonise at a rate more than 30 times faster than its current rate, if it is to decarbonise to mid-century, while continuing on its observed economic growth trajectory.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier, 2022. Vol. 363, article id 132414
Keywords [en]
Destination management, Emissions, GDP, Net-zero, Norway, Sustainable tourism
National Category
Economics and Business
Research subject
Tourism Studies
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:lnu:diva-116451DOI: 10.1016/j.jclepro.2022.132414ISI: 000844329900007Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85131434427OAI: oai:DiVA.org:lnu-116451DiVA, id: diva2:1697363
Available from: 2022-09-20 Created: 2022-09-20 Last updated: 2025-08-20Bibliographically approved

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Gössling, Stefan

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CiteExportLink to record
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Citation style
  • apa
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  • nn-NB
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  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
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